Blood glucose is a representative of the clustered indicators of multi-organ injury for predicting mortality of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China (preprint)

Background Concomitance with diabetes is associated with high mortality in critical conditions. Patients with previous diabetes are more vulnerable to COVID-19. However, new-onset COVID-19-related diabetes (CRD) and its relevance have scarcely been reported. This study investigates new-onset CRD and its correlation with poor outcomes or death in patients with COVID-19. Methods We performed a single center, retrospective case series study in 120 patients with laboratory confirmed COVID-19 at a university hospital. Fasting blood glucose (FBG) [≥]7.0 mmol/L for two times during hospitalization and without a history of diabetes were defined as CRD. The Critical status was defined as admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) or death. Results After excluding patients with a history of diabetes, chronic heart, kidney, and liver disease, 69 patients with COVID-19 were included in the final analysis. Of the 69 patients, 23 were Moderate, 20 were Severe, and 26 were Critical (including 16 deceased patients). The prevalence of CRD in Critical and Moderate+Severe patients was 53.85% and 13.95%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed a significantly higher mortality rate in patients with CRD (P=0.0019). Multivariable analysis indicated that CRD was an independent predictor for death (HR = 3.75, 95% CI 1.26-11.15). Cluster analysis suggested that indicators for multi-organ injury were interdependent, and more proximities of FBG with indicators for multi-organ injury was present. Conclusion Our results suggest that new onset COVID-19-related diabetes is an indicator of multi-organ injury and predictor for poor outcomes and death in COVID-19 patients. As it is easy to perform for clinical practices and even self-monitoring, glucose testing will be much helpful for predicting poor outcomes to facilitate appropriate intensive care in patients with COVID-19.

Higher severity and mortality in male patients with COVID-19 independent of age and susceptibility (preprint)

Importance: The recent outbreak of Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Disease (COVID-19) has put the world on alert, that is reminiscent of the SARS outbreak seventeen years ago. Objective: We aim to compare the severity and mortality between male and female patients with both COVID-19 and SARS, to explore the most useful prognostic factors for individualized assessment. Design, Setting, and Participants: We extracted the data from a case series of 43 hospitalized patients we treated, a public data set of the first 37 cases died of COVID-19 in Wuhan city and 1019 survived patients from six cities in China. We also analyzed the data of 524 patients with SARS, including 139 deaths, from Beijing city in early 2003. Main Outcomes and Measures: Severity and mortality. Results: Older age and high number of comorbidities were associated with higher severity and mortality in patients with both COVID-19 and SARS. The percentages of older age ([≥]65 years) were much higher in the deceased group than in the survived group in patients with both COVID-19 (83.8 vs. 13.2, P<0.001) and SARS (37.4 vs. 4.9, P<0.001). In the case series, men tend to be more serious than women (P=0.035), although age was comparable between men and women. In the public data set, age was also comparable between men and women in the deceased group or the survived group in patients with COVID-19. Meanwhile, gender distribution was exactly symmetrical in the 1019 survivors of COVID-19. However, the percentage of male were higher in the deceased group than in the survived group (70.3 vs. 50.0, P=0.015). The gender role in mortality was also observed in SARS patients. Survival analysis showed that men (hazard ratio [95% CI] 1.47 [1.05-2.06, P= 0.025) had a significantly higher mortality rate than women in patients with SARS. Conclusions and Relevance: Older age and male gender are risk factors for worse outcome in patients with COVID. While men and women have the same susceptibility to both SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV, men may be more prone to have higher severity and mortality independent of age and susceptibility.